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Boston is the third riskiest city in the US in which to buy real estate

Yeah, my English isn’t so good.

Anyway, the PMI Group, which collects real estate data and makes risk assessments of real estate markets is out with their latest (quarterly?) report, ranking US cities most likely to experience a drop in housing prices.

The top riskiest cities are Santa Ana and San Diego, California, and Boston.

The index is determined in part by comparing income to home prices.

Or, in their words:

Forty-eight of the nation’s 50 largest metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) face a greater risk of declining home prices this quarter, PMI Mortgage Insurance Co. (NYSE:PMI) announced today, but the continued strength of the national and local economies suggests that in the absence of an economic shock, the once red-hot housing market will cool gradually. Appreciation has slowed in nearly half of the MSAs as compared to last quarter. Affordability remains a problem with eight MSAs registering affordability levels considered low by historical standards, due to appreciation and higher interest rates.

My opinion? Whatever. They’re wrong in their analysis.

Source: Strong Economies Balance Increasing Risk of Home Price Declines, According to PMI Mortgage Insurance Co.’s Spring U.S. Market Risk Index; New PMI Research Demonstrates the Historical Value of Homeownership (press release from The PMI Group, by way of The Walk-through, The New York Times

Read other posts about: General real estate stories

4 Responses to “Boston is the third riskiest city in the US in which to buy real estate” »»

  1. Comment by Sach | 04/05/06 at 11:23 am

    Boston is losing population, the area had the slowest job growth in the 4th

    quarter of 2005 and homes are overvalued… I think it’s a huge risk to buy in Boston now.

  2. Comment by condoDomain.com | 04/05/06 at 5:33 pm

    Sorry Sach – Our observation shows otherwise. Yes Boston is

    expensive…but Boston is wealthy also. We need more housing to help slow down the

    appreciation…but without more units prices will continue to climb. There is a large demographic

    shift and more “empty nesters” (yes im sick of that word too) but they are moving back to the

    city…because its clean…its vibrant…and these new full services buildings now offer a great

    lifestyle package for these people to enjoy….not to mention young professionals who want to live

    downtown. Suburbs, maybe….price drops downtown….not in this lifetime.

  3. Comment by Sach | 04/06/06 at 6:45 am

    “Our observation

    shows otherwise…”

    Of course it does, MR. CONDODOMAIN.COM.

Trackbacks/Pingbacks »»>

  1. Trackback by Mortgage Calculator | 04/07/06 at 7:28 am

    Boston Is

    Bubbly…

    Lots of bloggers looking at the PMI Mortgage Insurance numbers to assess

    local market risk…….


Leave a Reply »»

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    Back Bay condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2011 - 82

    Back Bay average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $1,261,255
    Back Bay average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $1,306,435

    Back Bay median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $789,750
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    Back Bay median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $840,000

    Back Bay condo 2nd Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $787
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    Back Bay condos days on market 2nd Q 2012 - 80
    Back Bay condos days on market 2nd Q 2011 - 133

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    Beacon Hill Condos Sales Stats 2012



    Boston Beacon Hill Condos 1st and 2nd Quarters 2012



    Beacon Hill condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2012 - 35
    Beacon Hill condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2011 - 25

    Beacon Hill average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $808,840
    Beacon Hill average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $852,720

    Beacon Hill median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $549,000
    Beacon Hill median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $542,250

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    Beacon Hill condo 1st Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $675

    Beacon Hill condos days on market 1st Q 2012 - 108
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    Beacon Hill condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2011 - 69

    Beacon Hill average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $677,684
    Beacon Hill average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $661,045

    Beacon Hill median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $516,250
    Beacon Hill median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $511,750

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    Beacon Hill condos days on market 2nd Q 2011 - 80

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    Brighton condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2012 - 41
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    Brighton median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $255,500
    Brighton median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $254,000

    Brighton condo 2nd Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $337
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    Charlestown Condos Sales Stats 2012



    Charlestown Condos 1st and 2nd Quarters 2012



    Charlestown condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2012 - 43
    Charlestown condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2011 - 47

    Charlestown average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $491,085
    Charlestown average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $485,918

    Charlestown median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $435,000
    Charlestown median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $467,500

    Charlestown condo 1st Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $432
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    Charlestown condos days on market 1st Q 2012 - 112
    Charlestown condos days on market 1st Q 2011 - 125

    Charlestown condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2012 - 115
    Charlestown condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2011 - 72

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    Charlestown average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $423,006

    Charlestown median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $452,000
    Charlestown median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $408,500

    Charlestown condo 2nd Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $438
    Charlestown condo 2nd Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $437

    Charlestown condos days on market 2nd Q 2012 - 81
    Charlestown condos days on market 2nd Q 2011 - 60

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    Fenway Condos Sales Stats 2012



    Fenway Condos 1st and 2nd Quarters 2012



    Fenway condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2012 - 19
    Fenway condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2011 - 20

    Fenway average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $404,579
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    Fenway median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $375,000
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    Fenway condo 1st Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $513
    Fenway condo 1st Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $436

    Fenway condos days on market 1st Q 2012 - 42
    Fenway condos days on market 1st Q 2011 - 180

    Fenway condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2012 - 79
    Fenway condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2011 - 58

    Fenway average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $358,981
    Fenway average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $321,013

    Fenway median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $360,000
    Fenway median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $292,000

    Fenway condo 2nd Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $519
    Fenway condo 2nd Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $491

    Fenway condos days on market 2nd Q 2012 - 86
    Fenway condos days on market 2nd Q 2011 - 51

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