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Subprime worries grip nation – except for you-know-where

From yesterday’s Times:

While much of the country has been worrying about foreclosures on subprime mortgages, researchers the Furman Center for Real Estate and Urban Policy at New York University found last month that only a tiny fraction of Manhattan apartments, eight-tenths of 1 percent, were bought with subprime loans last year.

One percent. I’m sorry, I mean, eight-tenths of 1 percent.

That’s amazing.

I have no idea what percentage of Boston homebuyers have used “subprime” loans over the last one, three, or five years (nor is it clear what the researchers mean when they say “subprime” – second loans at adjustable rates?, loans over 80% of purchase price?). I’m going to guess it’s a bit more than 8/10’s of a percentage point.

Also, it’s not a cause-effect sort of thing, as far as I can figure. It’s not that a large number of subprime loans are what is the difference between a “hot” real estate market and a “cool” real estate market. For example, Miami and Las Vegas (and Phoenix) are in trouble because of overbuilding, and much of Ohio and Michigan are in trouble because of hundreds of thousands of job losses.

There is one similarity between the Manhattan and (downtown) Boston real estate market, however.

The pair cited figures showing an expanding base of wealth in New York City: the wealthiest 20 percent of Manhattan residents “the ones who can afford to buy high-end apartments at current prices” have a median income of $350,000, or 50 times the income of the bottom 20 percent. And they concluded that home prices are still catching up from the steep declines in the 1990s.

Now, I’m guessing that the wealthiest 20 percent of Boston residents don’t make 50 times the income of the bottom 20 percent, but there is still a wide income gap, obviously.

What is propping up our local real estate market is the relentless demand for high-quality housing within a very small acreage of land.

More: What Market Slump? – By Josh Barbanel, The New York Times

Read other posts about: subprime lending crisis

One Response to “Subprime worries grip nation – except for you-know-where” »»

  1. Comment by Hoss | 11/13/07 at 3:16 pm

    The

    income levels of people buying homes or condos in Back Bay, Beacon Hill, Downtown, North End and

    South End (and parts of South Boston) is clearly very, very high. The only new affordable housing

    being constructed is being done so as a small portion of larger developments. And in the

    brownstones and other old brick buildings in those neighborhoods, the only “affordable” buildings

    either house people who own their places and have lived there for a long time, or contain rental

    units (which doesn’t mean they’re affordable), or are public/coop. For example, on a stretch of

    Shawmut Avenue near the Dish/Franklin Cafe, there are some buildings that have clearly been owned

    by someone for decades. Whether they sell to someone who wants to convert to a single family or

    condos depends, but the trend moves in that direction…

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    Beacon Hill condos sold form Jan 1, 2011 - April 28, 2011 - 37

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    Fenway Condo Sales 2011

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