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2008 vs. 2006 condo sales

The following information is from the local MLS database, as of April 18, 2008.

Total # of condos for sale in the city of Boston: 2,517
Average # of days on market: 122

Lowest priced condo in city of Boston: $43,000 (sweet!)
Median price of all condos for sale in the city of Boston: $380,000
Highest priced condo in city of Boston: $11,500,000
Average price of all condos for sale in the city of Boston: $611,864

Number of condos sold (closed) over past 30 days: 223
Median sales price, last 30 days: $379,000
Average sales price, last 30 days: $601,785
Average days on market: 131
Ratio, closing (sales) price to original (list) price: 93%
Number of properties going under agreement, last 30 days: 475

The following information is from the local MLS database, as of April 15, 2006.

Total # of condos for sale in the city of Boston: 2,992
Average # of days on market: 104

Lowest priced condo in city of Boston: $124,900
Median price of all condos for sale in the city of Boston: $389,000
Highest priced condo in city of Boston: $13,995,000
Average price of all condos for sale in the city of Boston: $558,758

Number of condos sold (closed) over past 30 days: 320
Median sales price, last 30 days: $354,000
Average sales price, last 30 days: $459,660
Average days on market: 99
Ratio, closing (sales) price to original (list) price: 93%
Number of properties going under agreement, last 30 days: 497

My thoughts (2006): If you think prices are going to drop in Boston Proper, you are mistaken. It’s all about supply and demand, and there’s no more supply coming.

My thoughts (2008): Why the level of inventory has not risen is an open question. It basically comes down to, in my opinion, that people only list right now if they want to sell – they’re not trying out the market, and many owners may just be waiting out the “storm”. I think most owners in Boston make enough money that they don’t need to sell; we have a 4.4% unemployment rate – not many people are wandering the streets with tin cans in hand, begging (well, except for on Boylston Street). You would expect inventory levels to rise because the volume of sales has dropped, pretty significantly.

We are definitely seeing a “spring market” out there, based on the Under Agreement activity. I think it will be almost exactly what it was last year, in number of sales. By the end of May, things will freeze again, until the fall. If we have three months of stability in-between, then we might see activity pick up. Of course, everyone thinks that a national election puts a lot of people on the sidelines. I dunno.

Based on information provided to and compiled by the Multiple Listing Service Property Information Network, Inc. covering the period 3/18/2008 through 4/18/2008, and the period 3/15/2006 through 4/15/2006.

Read other posts about: Boston condo sales data

6 Responses to “2008 vs. 2006 condo sales” »»

  1. Comment by Steven | 04/18/08 at 11:30 am

    Maybe this is anecdotal since I don’t have any stats, but it seems that even last summer there were more properties for sale. Maybe people are waiting for nicer weather..who knows. I am looking to buy now but there just isn’t much on the market so I guess I’ll wait and see what comes along this summer.

  2. Comment by Guest | 04/18/08 at 12:03 pm

    Is it possible that places under agreement don’t actually close b/c financing is unavailable? While it’s certainly not the time to test out the waters for sellers, if people need to sell they may find that the credit markets are choking the available capital to those willing to buy. The lack of available money has historically caused many different assets to be repriced even if fundamentally it doesn’t make sense. If people who need to sell do so at much lower prices then the available comps will trend down. Of course maybe there are enough people out there with 20% down and 700 FICO to support the market, but I don’t think there are.

  3. Comment by confused | 04/18/08 at 12:28 pm

    What happened in 2007….I had a nice chart going plotting your weekly numbers

  4. Comment by John A Keith | 04/18/08 at 12:35 pm

    Must I do everything?

    The following information is from the local MLS database, as of April 14, 2007

    Total # of condos for sale in the city of Boston: 2,493
    Average # of days on market: 119

    Median price of all condos for sale in the city of Boston: $395,000
    Average price of all condos for sale in the city of Boston: $593,894

    Number of condos sold (closed) over past 30 days: 376
    Median sales price, last 30 days: $362,500
    Average sales price, last 30 days: $493,805
    Average days on market: 121
    Ratio, closing (sales) price to original (list) price: 94%

    Number of properties going under agreement, last 30 days: 505

    My thoughts (2007): The number of listings on the market is going up, pretty quickly – 160 in one week. As I mentioned in an entry this week, it looks as though the “spring market” started a bit later than during previous years. Buyers should have no trouble finding the “perfect home” right now. Sellers need to be careful – if they don’t price their properties right, they’re going to have to wait a long time to sell.

  5. Comment by John A Keith | 04/18/08 at 12:46 pm

    Guest, I don’t think so. Buyers will at least have a pre-approval when owners accept their offers.

    I have not heard of many deals falling apart once P&S is signed. I haven’t been tracking “back on markets’, though, so don’t really know.

  6. Comment by John A Keith | 04/18/08 at 5:04 pm

    Oh, confused, I misunderstood. I will probably still do a weekly analysis tomorrow; the above was done solely to show how things have changed (or, not changed) in two years. Also, that, surprisingly, my words in 2006 did not come back to haunt me.

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