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It’s all on how you read the numbers

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The Warren Group reported that single-family home sales inched up 2 percent in August compared to the prior year. August was the second straight month that sales volume increased in Massachusetts.

Here’s what’s not in the report: while sales of lower-priced single-family homes helped to prop up the overall numbers, higher-end home sales are dragging.

Single-family homes priced $200,000 to $400,000 shot up almost 10 percent compared to the same months in 2008.

In contrast, homes priced $800,000 and higher tumbled 11 percent.

But here’s the big question. If sales volume continues to climb in the lower-end of the real estate market do you think it will trickle up to more upscale home sales?

Source: Warren Group/B&T

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One Response to “It’s all on how you read the numbers” »»

  1. Comment by Mike | 09/30/09 at 4:02 am

    Hi John and John –

    The surge in the lower tier is pretty concerning, especially since it seems to support the hypothesis that a lot of the sales action has been driven by the $8k credit rather than a “real” improvement in the market. If that’s the case, these gains may be fleeting.

    The $8k credit phases out pretty quickly with income, so higher income people (who presumably buy the more expensive homes) see no benefit from the measure. If the market were being driven not by an improvement but rather by the temporary support from the $8k credit, results like this are what you’d expect.

    Not a good sign for the higher tier properties.

    Mike

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