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Mass. home sales, prices rebound in January

The median price for single-family homes in Massachusetts shot up in January when compared to the same month last year, driven by low mortgage rates, tax credits and an improving economy.

The Massachusetts Association of Realtors said Tuesday that the median price of a single-family home jumped 14.1 percent in January compared to the year-ago period, to $300,000 from $263,000.

The Warren Group, a Boston-based tracker of real estate data, said the median price rose 9.6 percent over the year to about $285,000.

The two organizations use different calculation methods, but both reported that it was the second consecutive month of increasing prices.

Both groups also reported a double-digit surge in condominium prices, and a significant increase in the number of homes sold.

The following are excerpts from the Boston Herald:

Sales of single-family homes jumped 11.8 percent to 2,153 last month, up from 1,926 in January 2009 – posting double-digit percentage increases for the fourth month in a row, according to The Warren Group’s latest data released this morning.

Condominium sales and median prices also surged last month. Condo sales soared 25.3 percent to 1,011 in January from 807 a year earlier. Condo sales have climbed by more than 10 percent year-over-year for four straight months.The median condo price jumped 16.7 percent to $245,000 from $209,900 in January 2009. It was the third straight month that median condo prices increased year-over-year.

Any thoughs?

Read other posts about: Boston real estate condos news

12 Responses to “Mass. home sales, prices rebound in January” »»

  1. Comment by Bradley | 02/23/10 at 6:17 am

    FANTASTIC news!! And realize these numbers are statewide. The downtown Boston market, always more resilient than the burbs, should surely be going into orbit this year!

  2. Comment by Boston Broker | 02/23/10 at 6:51 am

    Hey, Bradley that should silence your critics for a while (i.e. Mary).

  3. Comment by Mike | 02/23/10 at 7:05 am

    Jan volumes are still a bit low to avoid some volatility, but those numbers look pretty good. At least they’re not falling. It would be nice if they reported averages as well as medians – this data may be telling us that sales activity is finally moving up to higher-priced properties, where the slowdown was particularly severe.

    As an FYI, Case-Schiller is also out today, but their site is down. Note that CS looks at changes property by property, rather than just market medians and averages, so it should filter out any “mix” issues where properties sell for less than they did, but an increased percentage of high price properties sell moving the median and average.

    Hopefully their site will be back up soon, it will help interpret this data. Positive or negative, I’m still a little leery of using low volume months as a basis of estimation.

    Mike

  4. Comment by Bradley | 02/23/10 at 7:05 am

    That I doubt, BB. We’re just going to hear the same tired reasoning that we’ve heard time and time again: government support for the mortgage market is ending, rates will be going up soon, blah blah blah. Same ol’ same ol’. Every year it’s the same thing: “Just you wait! Next year prices will come down!” And then next year comes and they’ve gone up…yet again.

    With a constrained inventory, huge numbers of wealthy buyers, many with the ability to pay cash, a variegated economy that’s proven itself to be recession resistant, the outlook for the better downtown nabes in Boston is firmly on the seller’s side.

    I’ve said it before buyers… don’t expect a bargain. Prepare to pay and pay big. Try to lowball and someone else with more money than you will get the property you want. Don’t wait. Don’t be a hater!

  5. Comment by Mike | 02/23/10 at 7:11 am

    “don’t be a hater” Ha. How about – “don’t be stupid with your money.”

    If paying an asking price only makes sense relative to renting if you assume 10% returns, you’re making a bad assumption and will pay, financially. Just like many did who purchased 2004 through 2008 and now find themselves unable to move on with their lives because they’re stuck in a property they can’t sell for what they need.

    Financial resources are scarce (or at least mine are), so be wise with your money. If the world has too many idiots with more money than sense, don’t follow them to your detriment. You know the saying, “a fool and their money are soon parted”? Well, they listened to Bradley (or any other rah-rah cheerleader) without doing their own analysis.

    Do the math. Math is your friend.

    Mike

  6. Comment by megan | 02/23/10 at 7:24 am

    Prices may be up from January 09 but they declined from December ‘09 to January ‘10 by 1.6%. There’s a discussion about this in the Globe RE forum. Zillow has Boston on their list of cities that will potentially experience double dip in prices.

  7. Bob
    Comment by Bob | 02/23/10 at 7:32 am

    For those who think this is the bottom I urge you to go google ticker forum + Karl Denninger and click on the link top level market ticker forums…read the article posted today..”How long before you wake up…”

    That being said there are more reasons to purchase a home than as an investment. In the end it is a place to live where you have some control over your costs.

  8. Comment by Mike | 02/23/10 at 9:28 am

    OK, CS’ website is finally back up. The results (remember, this is for Dec. 2009, not Jan 2010) are that in December 2009 compared to November 2009 the index (and so presumably housing prices) rose 0.90% month over month, putting it back to where it was Dec of 2008, or basically flat year over year. For condos, the month over month rise was an even smaller 0.2%, which also put it about back where it was in Dec 2008.

    So, Warren group median of all sales says Jan median sale jumped significantly YOY in Jan, but CS says Dec stayed basically flat. It will be interesting to see what CS says about Jan, but right now it looks suspiciously like a mix issue (proportionately more expensive homes sold rather than home prices actually increasing).

  9. Comment by Mike | 02/23/10 at 9:37 am

    Oh, and every year from Bradley it’s the same old story “Just you wait! Next year the market will be en fuego!” and then next year comes and the market is still bogged down.

    How about that 2009, Bradley? I thought that was supposed to be one of the hottest real estate markets of all time? En fuego? Not quite. You’re hardly one to talk about accuracy of forecasts. You claim that prices have kept going up? Please point me to ANY credible source that shows that the majority of price measures (avg sales price, median sales price, avg PPSqFt) went up in 2008 and 2009.

    Your distortions of the truth are dangerous to people not aware of how little you regard truth and accuracy. David Lerah would be proud of you.

    Mike

  10. Comment by confused | 02/23/10 at 11:31 am

    Uhmmmm….according to my numbers on SFH’s YOY prices are below January 2004 levels and sales numbers are the second lowest January in 8 years. I guess the good news is that if you bought the median house in 2006 you’re only $50,000 below purchase price. Last year you were $75,000 in the hole. The bad news is that if you bought in Jan of 2006 you’ve also paid about 70,000 in interest and lost 50K on your investment. Hey, you got to choose the wall color.

  11. Comment by megan | 02/23/10 at 12:32 pm

    So there’s a huge discrepancy between the Bradley Index and the Reality Index, is that what everyone’s saying?

  12. Comment by Bradley Supporter | 02/23/10 at 2:05 pm

    Megan … err … Some one could say … Buyer’s Propaganda … Go Bradley!

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