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Boston Condos: Buy vs Rent Debate

Rents in Boston (and many other places) are climbing, while typical home values — thanks to foreclosure sales — are down.

Take a look at two of the implications:

–Affordability problems for renters. About 24.8 percent of renter householders within the Boston region were spending more than half their pre-tax income on housing and utilities in 2009, up from 19.7 percent in 2000, according to a new report by Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. And rents have only increased since, according to Hotpads.com

That’s a severe cost burden, but plenty of others are feeling pinched. Nationwide, just 50 % of renter households were spending less than 30 percent of their income on housing and utilities in 2009, the center said.

“In the last decade, rental housing affordability problems went through the roof,” co-author Eric S. Belsky of the joint center stated in the report. “And these affordability problems are marching up the income scale. In real terms, it means more people have less money to spend on household necessities such as food, health care, and savings.”

–New ammo for the buy vs. rent debate. HotPads.com, a real estate site that shows both rental and for-sale listings, states that rents in Boston have jumped in the last year while asking prices for Boston condos on the market have slumped. That’s lowered the “rent ratio” — its buy vs. rent calculation — to the point that buying is becoming more favorable than renting.

Of course, Boston condos (foreclosures) in need of fixing up — substantially, in some cases — are helping to drag down the median asking price. Another cost consideration for the mix if you’re crunching the numbers.

Patrick Killelea, of the housing-bubble-and-bust site Patrick.net, has his own buying rule of thumb:

The only true sign of a bottom is a price low enough so that you could rent out the house and make a profit. Then you’ll know it’s pretty safe to buy for yourself because then rent could cover the mortgage and ownership expenses if necessary, eliminating most of your risk. The basic buying safety rule is to divide annual rent by the purchase price for the house:

Annual rent / purchase price = 3% means: do not buy, prices are too high

Annual rent / purchase price = 6% means: borderline

Annual rent / purchase price = 9% means: OK to buy, prices are reasonable

This could be an interesting exercise for Boston condo owners, how much could you rent your Boston condominium for, and does the annual amount divided by your purchase price work out to 9 percent or more? Renters, would the purchase price on your home — or a home comparable to your apartment — meet Killelea’s test?

If you’re doing the math, remember that the result will be a decimal. Multiply by 100 (that is, move the decimal two places to the right) if you want to see it expressed as a percent.

Okay, I’m going to take a stab at this for a typical priced Boston condo, using HotPad’s figures based on the median asking price ($309,990.00) and the median rent ($1,750.00), works out to about 6.8 percent. Borderline, by Killelea’s reckoning. I’m sure that calculation varies a lot from neighborhood to neighborhood.

I’m interested to hear what your thoughts are.

Read other posts about: Boston apartment rents, Boston condos, Boston real estate condos news

3 Responses to “Boston Condos: Buy vs Rent Debate” »»

  1. Comment by confused | 04/28/11 at 2:24 am

    You have to include interest rates into the equation. At 10% interest, the yearly carrying cost of the loan you describe is 30K, at 5% it is 15K….I’m sure the above metric uses a 5% loan rate.

  2. Comment by Mike | 04/29/11 at 3:14 am

    The correct answer is: It’s always a good time to buy! Buying in the Back Bay / South End / etc. is the single smartest thing you can do with your money. I heard it straight from Bradley so you know it’s true! Who needs any of this pesky “math” or “analysis” or “prudence”!

    -sigh- -sarcasm off-

    As a rule of thumb, it’s probably a pretty good start, but as Confused points out, the percentage at which you reach high / borderline / reasonable varies with other factors (such as interest rates) so you need to stay on top of it.

    Nothing beats sitting down and doing a spreadsheet of costs (actual costs, after tax) for the two alternatives and comparing from there.

  3. Comment by destin beach real estate | 04/30/11 at 12:20 am

    Good concept and excellent post. This is my first time i visit here. I found so many interesting stuff in your blog. I am looking forward some more information from your end, it’s really helpful for me. I will bookmark your site to check if you write more about in the future. Please keep up the good work.

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    ------------------------------- Boston condo sales for June 2012 - 643.

    Number of Boston condos sold: 643

    Average sales price for a Boston condo: $585,113

    Median sales price of a Boston condo: $445,000

    Average square foor price: $510.00

    Average days on the market: 67



    Boston Real Estate / Boston Condos



    Click on the links below for Boston condo neighborhood sales listings

    Boston Back Bay Condos

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    ----------

    Back Bay Condos Sales Stats 2012


    Boston Back Bay Condos 1st and 2nd Quarters 2012



    Back Bay condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2012 - 80
    Back Bay condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2011 - 82

    Back Bay average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $1,261,255
    Back Bay average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $1,306,435

    Back Bay median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $789,750
    Back Bay median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $828,895

    Back Bay condo 1st Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $804
    Back Bay condo 1st Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $809

    Back Bay condos days on market 1st Q 2012 - 142
    Back Bay condos days on market 1st Q 2011 - 133

    Back Bay condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2012 - 170
    Back Bay condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2011 - 118

    Back Bay average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $1,100,149
    Back Bay average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $1,329,678

    Back Bay median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $761,000
    Back Bay median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $840,000

    Back Bay condo 2nd Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $787
    Back Bay condo 2nd Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $823

    Back Bay condos days on market 2nd Q 2012 - 80
    Back Bay condos days on market 2nd Q 2011 - 133

    ------------

    Beacon Hill Condos Sales Stats 2012



    Boston Beacon Hill Condos 1st and 2nd Quarters 2012



    Beacon Hill condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2012 - 35
    Beacon Hill condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2011 - 25

    Beacon Hill average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $808,840
    Beacon Hill average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $852,720

    Beacon Hill median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $549,000
    Beacon Hill median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $542,250

    Beacon Hill condo 1st Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $747
    Beacon Hill condo 1st Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $675

    Beacon Hill condos days on market 1st Q 2012 - 108
    Beacon Hill condos days on market 1st Q 2011 - 198

    Beacon Hill condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2012 - 65
    Beacon Hill condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2011 - 69

    Beacon Hill average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $677,684
    Beacon Hill average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $661,045

    Beacon Hill median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $516,250
    Beacon Hill median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $511,750

    Beacon Hill condo 2nd Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $743
    Beacon Hill condo 2nd Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $686

    Beacon Hill condos days on market 2nd Q 2012 - 67
    Beacon Hill condos days on market 2nd Q 2011 - 80

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    Brighton Condos Sales Stats 2012



    Brighton Condos 1st and 2nd Quarters 2012



    Brighton condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2012 - 41
    Brighton condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2011 - 47

    Brighton average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $254,685
    Brighton average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $254,324

    Brighton median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $237,000
    Brighton median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $250,000

    Brighton condo 1st Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $316
    Brighton condo 1st Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $297

    Brighton condos days on market 1st Q 2012 - 28
    Brighton condos days on market 1st Q 2011 - 84

    Brighton condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2012 - 91
    Brighton condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2011 - 73

    Brighton average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $268,434
    Brighton average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $255,140

    Brighton median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $255,500
    Brighton median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $254,000

    Brighton condo 2nd Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $337
    Brighton condo 2nd Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $311

    Brighton condos days on market 2nd Q 2012 - 59
    Brighton condos days on market 2nd Q 2011 - 99

    -----------

    Charlestown Condos Sales Stats 2012



    Charlestown Condos 1st and 2nd Quarters 2012



    Charlestown condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2012 - 43
    Charlestown condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2011 - 47

    Charlestown average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $491,085
    Charlestown average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $485,918

    Charlestown median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $435,000
    Charlestown median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $467,500

    Charlestown condo 1st Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $432
    Charlestown condo 1st Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $444

    Charlestown condos days on market 1st Q 2012 - 112
    Charlestown condos days on market 1st Q 2011 - 125

    Charlestown condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2012 - 115
    Charlestown condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2011 - 72

    Charlestown average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $474,847
    Charlestown average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $423,006

    Charlestown median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $452,000
    Charlestown median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $408,500

    Charlestown condo 2nd Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $438
    Charlestown condo 2nd Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $437

    Charlestown condos days on market 2nd Q 2012 - 81
    Charlestown condos days on market 2nd Q 2011 - 60

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    Fenway Condos Sales Stats 2012



    Fenway Condos 1st and 2nd Quarters 2012



    Fenway condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2012 - 19
    Fenway condo sales in the 1st Quarter of 2011 - 20

    Fenway average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $404,579
    Fenway average condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $320,828

    Fenway median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2012 - $375,000
    Fenway median condo sales price in the 1st Q of 2011 - $291,500

    Fenway condo 1st Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $513
    Fenway condo 1st Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $436

    Fenway condos days on market 1st Q 2012 - 42
    Fenway condos days on market 1st Q 2011 - 180

    Fenway condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2012 - 79
    Fenway condo sales in the 2nd Quarter of 2011 - 58

    Fenway average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $358,981
    Fenway average condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $321,013

    Fenway median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2012 - $360,000
    Fenway median condo sales price in the 2nd Q of 2011 - $292,000

    Fenway condo 2nd Q 2012 sales price per square foot - $519
    Fenway condo 2nd Q 2011 sales price per square foot - $491

    Fenway condos days on market 2nd Q 2012 - 86
    Fenway condos days on market 2nd Q 2011 - 51

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