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Boston Condos: Buy vs Rent Debate

Rents in Boston (and many other places) are climbing, while typical home values — thanks to foreclosure sales — are down.

Take a look at two of the implications:

–Affordability problems for renters. About 24.8 percent of renter householders within the Boston region were spending more than half their pre-tax income on housing and utilities in 2009, up from 19.7 percent in 2000, according to a new report by Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. And rents have only increased since, according to Hotpads.com

That’s a severe cost burden, but plenty of others are feeling pinched. Nationwide, just 50 % of renter households were spending less than 30 percent of their income on housing and utilities in 2009, the center said.

“In the last decade, rental housing affordability problems went through the roof,” co-author Eric S. Belsky of the joint center stated in the report. “And these affordability problems are marching up the income scale. In real terms, it means more people have less money to spend on household necessities such as food, health care, and savings.”

–New ammo for the buy vs. rent debate. HotPads.com, a real estate site that shows both rental and for-sale listings, states that rents in Boston have jumped in the last year while asking prices for Boston condos on the market have slumped. That’s lowered the “rent ratio” — its buy vs. rent calculation — to the point that buying is becoming more favorable than renting.

Of course, Boston condos (foreclosures) in need of fixing up — substantially, in some cases — are helping to drag down the median asking price. Another cost consideration for the mix if you’re crunching the numbers.

Patrick Killelea, of the housing-bubble-and-bust site Patrick.net, has his own buying rule of thumb:

The only true sign of a bottom is a price low enough so that you could rent out the house and make a profit. Then you’ll know it’s pretty safe to buy for yourself because then rent could cover the mortgage and ownership expenses if necessary, eliminating most of your risk. The basic buying safety rule is to divide annual rent by the purchase price for the house:

Annual rent / purchase price = 3% means: do not buy, prices are too high

Annual rent / purchase price = 6% means: borderline

Annual rent / purchase price = 9% means: OK to buy, prices are reasonable

This could be an interesting exercise for Boston condo owners, how much could you rent your Boston condominium for, and does the annual amount divided by your purchase price work out to 9 percent or more? Renters, would the purchase price on your home — or a home comparable to your apartment — meet Killelea’s test?

If you’re doing the math, remember that the result will be a decimal. Multiply by 100 (that is, move the decimal two places to the right) if you want to see it expressed as a percent.

Okay, I’m going to take a stab at this for a typical priced Boston condo, using HotPad’s figures based on the median asking price ($309,990.00) and the median rent ($1,750.00), works out to about 6.8 percent. Borderline, by Killelea’s reckoning. I’m sure that calculation varies a lot from neighborhood to neighborhood.

I’m interested to hear what your thoughts are.

Read other posts about: Boston apartment rents, Boston condos, Boston real estate condos news

3 Responses to “Boston Condos: Buy vs Rent Debate” »»

  1. Comment by confused | 04/28/11 at 2:24 am

    You have to include interest rates into the equation. At 10% interest, the yearly carrying cost of the loan you describe is 30K, at 5% it is 15K….I’m sure the above metric uses a 5% loan rate.

  2. Comment by Mike | 04/29/11 at 3:14 am

    The correct answer is: It’s always a good time to buy! Buying in the Back Bay / South End / etc. is the single smartest thing you can do with your money. I heard it straight from Bradley so you know it’s true! Who needs any of this pesky “math” or “analysis” or “prudence”!

    -sigh- -sarcasm off-

    As a rule of thumb, it’s probably a pretty good start, but as Confused points out, the percentage at which you reach high / borderline / reasonable varies with other factors (such as interest rates) so you need to stay on top of it.

    Nothing beats sitting down and doing a spreadsheet of costs (actual costs, after tax) for the two alternatives and comparing from there.

  3. Comment by destin beach real estate | 04/30/11 at 12:20 am

    Good concept and excellent post. This is my first time i visit here. I found so many interesting stuff in your blog. I am looking forward some more information from your end, it’s really helpful for me. I will bookmark your site to check if you write more about in the future. Please keep up the good work.

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    Boston Back Bay Condos 3rd Q 2011





    Back Bay Condo Sales 3rd Quarter 2011 - 150. Number of Back Bay condo sales in the 3rd Q of 2010 - 126

    Back Bay average condo sales price in the 3rd Q of 2011 - $974,258.00. Back Bay average condo sales price in the 3rd Q of 2010 - $944,320.00

    Back Bay condo 3rd Q 2011 sales price per square foot $736.88 Back Bay condo 3rd Q 2010 sales price per square foot $731.88

    Boston Back Bay condos days on market 3rd Q 2011 - 125 Boston Back Bay condos days on market 3rd Q 2010 - 106 Back Bay condo sales stats Jan - Sept 2011:

    Number of Back Bay Condo sales Jan through Sept - 334

    Avg Back Bay condo sales price - $1, 173,927.00

    Med Back Bay condo sales price - $795,000.00

    Avg price per square foot - $780.00

    Days on market for Back Bay Condo - 131

    Back Bay Condos - Sales Stats 2011



    Back Bay Condo Sales form April 1, 2011 - May 1, 2011 - 27

    Avg. Back Bay condo sales price - $1,324,226.00

    Med. Back Bay condo sales price - $1,210,000.00

    Back Bay condo sales price per square foot - $787.00

    Avg. days on the market for Back Bay condo - 184

    Boston Back Bay condos sold from Jan 1, 2011 - April 28, 2011 - 105.

    Average sales price for a Back Bay condominium in 2011 - $1,317,969.00

    Median sales price for a Back Bay condominium in 2011 - $865,000.00

    Average price per sqaure foot for a Back Bay condo in 2011 - $805.00

    Average days on the market in 2011 for a Back Bay condo - 153

    Back Bay condos/real estate sales for the 1st Quarter of 2011:

    Average Back Bay condo sales price - $1,290,181.00

    Median Back Bay condo sales price - $828,895.00

    Average Back Bay condo sales priec per square foot - $804.00



    Back Bay Condos Sold Jan 1, 2011 - April 16, 2011

    Back Bay condos sales - 97

    Average Back Bay condo price: $1,407,795.00

    Median Back Bay condo sales price: $852,500.00

    Average price per square foot for a Back Bay Condo $863.00

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    Back Bay Condos Sold 2011

    Back Bay condos sold: 50

    Average Back Bay condo sales price:$1,367,003.00

    Median Back Bay condo sales price: $953,750.00

    Average Price per $/SF: $806

    Average days on the market for a Back Bay condo: 124

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    Beacon Hill Condos Sales Stats 2011





    Beacon Hill condos sold form Jan 1, 2011 - April 28, 2011 - 37

    Average Beacon Hill condo sales price - $799,809.00

    Median Beacon Hill condos sales price - $560,000.00

    Average price per square foot for a sold Beacon Hill condo - $704.00

    Average days on the market for a Beacon Hill condo to sell - 165

    Beacon Hill condo sales 2011 Jan - Mar

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    Med. Beacon Hill condo price $524,500.00

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    Boston Condos Brighton Sales Stats 2011





    Boston Brighton Condo sales - 25

    Brighton condo avg. sales price $259,510

    Brighton condo med. sales price $262,000

    Brighton condo price per sq ft $283.00

    Brighton condo days-on-market 90

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    Boston Condos Charlestown - Sales Stats





    Charlestown condo sales - 25

    Charlestown average condo - $545,019

    Charlestown median condo - $470,000

    Average price per sq ft Charlestown condo $458.00

    Average days-on-market 123

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    Fenway Condos Sales Stats 2011







    Fenway Condo Sales 2011

    Fenway condo sales 7

    Average Fenway condo price $292,500

    Median Fenway condo price $282,500

    Fenway price per sq ft $435.00

    Fenway days-on-market 237

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