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Warren Buffett: Housing market could take a while to recover

Warren Buffett says the housing market is harming the U.S. economy and won’t rebound until inventory is drawn down. Buffett:

Surprise, we had this huge inventory. … We’re drawing down on the inventory every day, I don’t know how long that takes, but I know when it’s through, when we’ve reached something close to a balance, that we will have at least a million households being formed annually.

He also thinks jobs follow the housing market. We tend to think it’s the other way around: housing follows jobs. So who are you going to believe? Some “Oracle of Omaha” or the mighty Boston Real Estate Blog?

File under: Oracle of Charles Street

Read other posts about: General real estate stories

4 Responses to “Warren Buffett: Housing market could take a while to recover” »»

  1. Comment by Rich | 11/14/11 at 11:42 am

    Warren is right. There are simply too many empty houses in the U.S. and not enough buyers. Because we don’t need to build new homes, there are a lot of construction workers who are now out of work.

    The problems are due to the Fed putting the U.S. economy on a sugar high from 2002-2007 and pushing the construction industry to build more homes than were needed.

    This construction bubble was a separate, but related bubble to the subprime bubble.

  2. Comment by Boston Agent | 11/14/11 at 12:17 pm

    So should we start to just level vacant homes? Someone needs to take some drastic action . . . . I feel like we are all stuck in a giant came of limbo that never ends

  3. Rob
    Comment by Rob | 11/16/11 at 7:48 am

    Many houses in areas where there is no recovery such as Detroit should be demolished. Many of the homes sit empty with out providing property tax for the city while draining public resources. Leaving them standing causes greater budget deficit for the city and higher taxes for everyone else. People will begin to leave the city cause more problems and then more people leave, spiraling into something worse.

  4. Comment by Funny | 11/16/11 at 2:45 pm

    Rob, as far as I know Detroit is doing just that. They’re also telling homeowner holdouts their on their own as far as services go.

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    Boston Back Bay Condos 3rd Q 2011





    Back Bay Condo Sales 3rd Quarter 2011 - 150. Number of Back Bay condo sales in the 3rd Q of 2010 - 126

    Back Bay average condo sales price in the 3rd Q of 2011 - $974,258.00. Back Bay average condo sales price in the 3rd Q of 2010 - $944,320.00

    Back Bay condo 3rd Q 2011 sales price per square foot $736.88 Back Bay condo 3rd Q 2010 sales price per square foot $731.88

    Boston Back Bay condos days on market 3rd Q 2011 - 125 Boston Back Bay condos days on market 3rd Q 2010 - 106 Back Bay condo sales stats Jan - Sept 2011:

    Number of Back Bay Condo sales Jan through Sept - 334

    Avg Back Bay condo sales price - $1, 173,927.00

    Med Back Bay condo sales price - $795,000.00

    Avg price per square foot - $780.00

    Days on market for Back Bay Condo - 131

    Back Bay Condos - Sales Stats 2011



    Back Bay Condo Sales form April 1, 2011 - May 1, 2011 - 27

    Avg. Back Bay condo sales price - $1,324,226.00

    Med. Back Bay condo sales price - $1,210,000.00

    Back Bay condo sales price per square foot - $787.00

    Avg. days on the market for Back Bay condo - 184

    Boston Back Bay condos sold from Jan 1, 2011 - April 28, 2011 - 105.

    Average sales price for a Back Bay condominium in 2011 - $1,317,969.00

    Median sales price for a Back Bay condominium in 2011 - $865,000.00

    Average price per sqaure foot for a Back Bay condo in 2011 - $805.00

    Average days on the market in 2011 for a Back Bay condo - 153

    Back Bay condos/real estate sales for the 1st Quarter of 2011:

    Average Back Bay condo sales price - $1,290,181.00

    Median Back Bay condo sales price - $828,895.00

    Average Back Bay condo sales priec per square foot - $804.00



    Back Bay Condos Sold Jan 1, 2011 - April 16, 2011

    Back Bay condos sales - 97

    Average Back Bay condo price: $1,407,795.00

    Median Back Bay condo sales price: $852,500.00

    Average price per square foot for a Back Bay Condo $863.00

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    Back Bay Condos Sold 2011

    Back Bay condos sold: 50

    Average Back Bay condo sales price:$1,367,003.00

    Median Back Bay condo sales price: $953,750.00

    Average Price per $/SF: $806

    Average days on the market for a Back Bay condo: 124

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    Beacon Hill Condos Sales Stats 2011





    Beacon Hill condos sold form Jan 1, 2011 - April 28, 2011 - 37

    Average Beacon Hill condo sales price - $799,809.00

    Median Beacon Hill condos sales price - $560,000.00

    Average price per square foot for a sold Beacon Hill condo - $704.00

    Average days on the market for a Beacon Hill condo to sell - 165

    Beacon Hill condo sales 2011 Jan - Mar

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    Avg. price per sq ft. Beacon Hill condo $632.00

    Avg. days on market Beacon Hill condo 222

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    Boston Condos Brighton Sales Stats 2011





    Boston Brighton Condo sales - 25

    Brighton condo avg. sales price $259,510

    Brighton condo med. sales price $262,000

    Brighton condo price per sq ft $283.00

    Brighton condo days-on-market 90

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    Charlestown condo sales - 25

    Charlestown average condo - $545,019

    Charlestown median condo - $470,000

    Average price per sq ft Charlestown condo $458.00

    Average days-on-market 123

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    Fenway Condos Sales Stats 2011







    Fenway Condo Sales 2011

    Fenway condo sales 7

    Average Fenway condo price $292,500

    Median Fenway condo price $282,500

    Fenway price per sq ft $435.00

    Fenway days-on-market 237

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