In times of uncertainty, one of the best things we can do to ease our fears is to educate ourselves with research, facts, and data. Digging into past experiences by reviewing historical trends and understanding the peaks and valleys of what’s come before us is one of the many ways we can confidently evaluate any situation. With concerns of a global recession on everyone’s minds today, it’s important to take an objective look at what has transpired over the years and how the Boston real estate market has successfully weathered these storms.

1. The Boston Real Estate Market Today Is Vastly Different from 2008

We all remember 2008. This is not 2008. Today’s market conditions are far from the time when housing was a key factor that triggered a recession. From easy-to-access mortgages to skyrocketing home price appreciation, a surplus of inventory, excessive equity-tapping, and more – we’re not where we were 12 years ago. None of those factors are in play today. Rest assured, the Boston high rise condo market is not a catalyst that could spiral us back to that time or place.

According to Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com, if there is a recession:

“It will be different than the Great Recession. Things unraveled pretty quickly, and then the recovery was pretty slow. I would expect this to be milder. There’s no dysfunction in the banking system, we don’t have many households who are overleveraged with their mortgage payments and are potentially in trouble.”

Boston luxury condos

Boston real estate market

In addition, the Goldman Sachs GDP Forecast released this week indicates that although there is no growth anticipated immediately, gains are forecasted heading into the second half of this year and getting even stronger in early 2021.Both of these expert sources indicate this is a momentary event in time, not a collapse of the financial industry or for that matter the Boston real estate market. It is a drop that will rebound quickly, a stark difference to the crash of 2008 and remember that crisis may impacted most parts of U.S, real estate market, but the downtown Boston condo market had only little decline that was short lived. 

2. A Recession Does Not Equal a Downtown Boston Condo Crisis

Next, take a look at the past five recessions in U.S. history. Home values actually appreciated in three of them. It is true that they sank by almost 20% during the last recession, but as we’ve identified above, 2008 presented different circumstances. In the four previous recessions, home values depreciated only once (by less than 2%). In the other three, residential real estate values increased by 3.5%, 6.1%, and 6.6% (see corelogic chart below):Three Reasons Why This Is Not a Housing Crisis | Simplifying The Market

3. Have Confidence in the Boston Real Estate Market

Concerns about the global impact COVID-19 will have on the economy are real. As the health and wellness of our friends, families, and loved ones are high on everyone’s mind. Our Boston real estate market is resilent. And so are you.

According to Bloomberg,

“Several economists made clear that the extent of the economic wreckage will depend on factors such as how long the virus lasts, whether governments will loosen fiscal policy enough and can markets avoid freezing up.”

That said, we can be confident that, while we don’t know the exact impact the virus will have on the Boston condo market, so there is no need to panic.

Boston Real Estate and The Bottom Line

The reasons we buy and sell Boston condos is because of – marriage, children, job changes, retirement, etc. – are steadfast parts of life. As noted in a recent piece in the New York Times, “Everyone needs someplace to live.” That will never change.

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