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My thoughts on the Boston condo market for 2022

Updated: Summer 2022

Everyone is concerned about the economy and both buyers and sellers are wondering about the Boston condo for sale market, and I can’t blame them.  My stock portfolio has taken a massive hit. It’s hard to be optimistic at the moment. We’re dealing with big interest rate increases, inflation, hiring freezes, the Ukraine war and yeah—a worldwide pandemic that’s surging again, and a bear stock market.

However, I’ve navigated rough markets before in the 20 years I’ve been in the Boston condo for sale market. Buyer, sellers and agents have to adjust their expectations and reset their strategies.

I’ve noticed signs of a softening market over the past month. Boston condo for sale listing agents encouraging early offers and not relying on offer dates. Offer dates coming and going without any offers transpiring. Price reductions. Developers at new construction condo projects slashing prices to be competitive and get buyers into contract.

Nothing new, the Boston condo for sale market goes in cycles and you just need to know how to handle this particular one. I fortunately have some tips for buyers and sellers that I hope will help everyone navigate the market successfully:

Boston Condo Buyers

Buyers: Stay the course and focus on what you can afford under the higher interest rates. It’s likely your purchasing power will not be as strong as was earlier this year. But there will definitely be room to move on pricing for the summer and Fall. Yes, there will be Boston condo sellers who won’t sell unless they can get a certain price. But you want the ones who will sell for what the market will bear. Don’t be afraid to include a contingency or two, because you may end up being the only offer and it’s always nice to have a safety net. There will be some good deals in your future, so don’t miss out because you’re sitting on the sidelines or trying to time the market.

Boston Condo Sellers

Sellers: Make sure your property stands out with the proper prep work, and get those Boston condo buyers to the open houses with a high-quality online presence. This is not the time to try to save money by skipping the painting, cleaning, refinishing floors, and staging.  Boston condo buyers will be more critical and you will want to give them a reason to make an offer on your property. Be realistic on price and recognize that sales which occurred earlier in the year closed when interest rates were considerably lower. The list-low, sell-for-more strategy may not work in many cases, so you might want to price your home right around where it should sell. Be prepared to have a longer days on market, particularly if there’s a lot of inventory in your price range. You need that one qualified buyer, so set yourself up to compete against other similar properties.

Updated: Boston Real Estate Blog 2022

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I expect to see continuing strength in Boston condo for sale buying demand especially in the affordable market, as a result of demographic trends in home-buying activity from Millennials and Baby Boomers as well as continuing remote work opportunities. However, housing supply headwinds from ongoing supply chain constraints will impact inventory at least for the first part of the year.  In addition, all the new construction is designed for high income Bostonians, which does not bode well for individuals looking for their first Boston apartment for rent or first-time Boston condo buyers.

I also anticipate an uptick in mortgage interest rates—although we do not expect them to increase dramatically or abruptly—while incomes rise and the economy strengthens. The new FHA loan limits that will become effective January 2022 will allow for additional first-time buyer participation across the downtown Boston condo market

Boston Condos for sale Sale and Rent

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Where is the Boston condo market heading?

My Boston condo projections haven’t been that accurate in the past, which means my guess of fewer sales shouldn’t be taken as gospel.  Bottom line, Boston condo pricing should keep rising though, due to buyers buying luxury condos and with fewer less expensive Boston condos selling, the median Boston condo price may still rise even though prices in general are stagnant or falling. A combination of Boston luxury condo prices and eroding affordability is expected to cut into the Boston housing demand and contribute to a weaker housing market in 2019.


My predictions, while Boston condo prices will hold next year, interest rates will likely rise and compound housing affordability issues, would-be Boston condo buyers who are concerned that Boston condos prices may have peaked will wait on the sidelines until they have more clarity on where the housing market is headed. This could hold back housing demand and hamper home sales in 2019. Your thoughts?

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