Before I dive into this blog post, I’m reminded of what Alexander Pope wrote in 1711 when he inked the saying “…..Fools walk in where angels fear to tread” (An Essay on Criticism). Since then this phrase has been used countless times to describe undertakings that many would advise against. With that said…. What’s happening to the affordability of the Boston condo market? From my perspective, as a Boston condo agent in 2018, there seems to be battlelines being drawn between  local politicians, long time resident/owners vs businesses and Boston high rise condo developers, in this booming economy. It’s a battle over Boston condo prices, quality of life, saving the fabric of the culture of Boston, the changing city skyline and lastly, whether people’s dream of Boston condo ownership will ever be realized. What’s the root of the problem? Simple answer, general affordability is dying out and replaced by a new Boston luxury condos. In my neighborhood of Beacon Hill, lower priced condos have dried up and entry level is now in the $600,000 range on average. As of the writing of this post the least expensive condo is $624,000. The average asking price is above $1,200 per sq ft. for a 4th floor walk up. In Midtown/Downtown and Seaport District  with new high rise condos  prices are much, much higher. Strong sales of 3+ Million dollar condos is the norm for these Boston neighborhoods. When will it change? Hoards of millennials, working poor, and homeless people are praying for a Boston condo market crash, yet after a short lull, Boston condo prices in August and September have kept climbing. With such strong demand driving the whole Boston condo market in 2018 – 2019 and beyond, it’s unlikely a crash will happen soon. In fact, with the extra economic activity spawned by housing construction and household formation, there is upward price pressure. And the US economy as a whole is booming and we could be looking at an even longer run of economic prosperity. Are there any signs of a correction? There is an old Chinese  proverb that says “…..a crisis is an opportunity  riding a dangerous wind”. In our case, the crisis is what is taken place in the Boston apartment rental market.

I think we’ll see a Boston rental correction in 2019 is due to excess supply of vacant apartments. Once again, lets look at my neighborhood of Beacon Hill. Under normal market conditions Beacon Hill would have between 25 – 40 vacant apartments in late September and early October. As of the writing off this blog post we have over 80 apartments available. This trend is happening not only in Beacon Hill, but throughout the Greater Boston area.

Second reason for a Boston apartment correction, is due to Mayor Walsh’s action of curbing Airbnb. This will bring a large pool of apartments hitting the market in 2019 as Mayor Walsh’s policy will become law. Lastly, the increase vacancies in Boston luxury apartments especially in the Seaport District will result in downward pressure throughout the city. If my predictions are correct regarding the Boston apartment market it will lead to more and more Boston condo owners to place their condo on the market sale, as their ROI diminish with lower rents By 2021 we’ll begin to see increased downward  pressure on Boston condo prices and the pendulum will swing from a Seller’s market to a Buyer’s market. Back Bay condos for sale Beacon Hill condos for sale Charlestown condos for sale Navy Yard condo sales Dorchester condos for sale Fenway condos for sale Jamaica Plain condos for  sale Leather District condos for sale Midtown/Downtown high rise condos Seaport District condos for sale South Boston condos for sale South End condos for sale North End condos for sale West End condo sales East Boston condos for sale

Boston condos for sale near Downtown/Midtown Boston

Back Bay Boston condos  Beacon Hill  Boston condos Charlestown Boston condos Navy Yard Charlestown  Boston condos Dorchester Boston condos Fenway  Boston condos Jamaica Plain Boston condos Leather District Boston condos Midtown  Boston condos Seaport District Boston condos South Boston new condos South End new condos  Waterfront new condos  North End  new condos  West End new condos East Boston condos

Condos around the Midtown area to rent:

Back Bay area condos for rent Beacon Hill area condos for rent Charlestown area condos for rent Navy Yard Charlestown area condos for rent Dorchester area condos for rent Fenway area condos for rent Jamaica Plain area condos for rent Leather District area condos for rent Midtown area condos for rent Seaport District area condos for rent South Boston area condos for rent South End area condos for rent Waterfront area condos for rent North End area condos for rent West End area condos for rent East Boston area condos for rent Click here: Boston Midtown Condos For Sale.  

Author Profile

John Ford
John Ford

Over the course of 20 years in the Boston downtown real estate market, John represented and sold numerous, condominiums, investment and development properties in Greater Boston and in the surrounding suburbs

In addition to representing Boston condo buyers and sellers, John is currently one of the most recognized Boston condo blog writers regarding Boston condominiums and residential real estate markets. John's insights and observations about the Boston condo market have been seen in a wide variety of the most established local & national media outlets including; Banker and Tradesman, Boston Magazine The Boston Globe, The Boston Herald and NewsWeek and Fortune magazine, among others.


For over 24 years, John Ford, of Ford Realty Inc., has been actively involved in the real estate industry. He started his career in commercial real estate with a national firm Spaulding & Slye and quickly realized that he had a passion for residential properties. In 1999, John entered the residential real estate market, and in 2000 John Started his own firm Ford Realty Inc. As a broker, his clients have come to love his fun, vivacious, and friendly attitude. He prides himself on bringing honesty and integrity to the entire home buying and selling process. In addition to helping buyers and sellers, he also works with rental clients. Whether you’re looking to purchase a new Boston condo or rent an apartment, you’ll quickly learn why John has a 97% closing rate.


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John Ford and his staff can be reached at 617-595-3712 or 617-720-5454. Please feel free to stop by John's Boston Beacon Hill office located at 137 Charles Street.

John Ford
Ford Realty Inc
137 Charles Street
Boston, Ma 02114



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