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Beware Boston Condo Brokers: Shift Happens

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Beware Boston Condo Brokers: Shift Happens

US home price growth slows in June, signaling shift toward buyer’s market

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As the spring homebuying season ended, U.S. home price growth softened significantly, opening the door to improved affordability. According to Cotality’s August  2025 U.S Home Price Insights report, annual growth in June dipped to 1.7%, now trailing well below the rate of inflation — a trend that signals modest real price gains and slightly easing pressure for buyers.  

From May to June, prices rose just 0.1%, the slowest June uptick since 2008.  

Some regions remained strong despite the national slowdown. The Northeast and Midwest were among the most resilient markets, as they saw seasonal price gains that aligned with pre-pandemic trends. In June, Connecticut (+7.8%), New Jersey (+7.2%) and Rhode Island (+6.6%) posted some of the nation’s highest annual price gains.  

Notably, West Virginia also saw robust appreciation at 5.5%, placing it among the top five states for home price growth. By contrast, the Sun Belt states reported negative home price growth during the same period.  

Despite the report illustrating that affordability is gradually improving, insurance premiums and property taxes have surged 70% since 2020.  

Cotality Chief Economist Selma Hepp said, “With mortgage rates remaining elevated and concerns about a slowing U.S. economy, subdued demand and downward pressure on home prices is expected to persist, particularly in regions where prices have already decelerated or where recent appreciation has significantly limited local affordability.”  

By June, the median sale price for a single-family home hit $403,000, still increasing but at a slower pace than inflation — signaling a tentative shift toward a buyer’s market, according to the report. Rents remain tight as well, with single-family rents rising 2.9% year-over-year in the Northeast, Midwest and Mid-Atlantic. 

Hepp said, “Housing markets are currently undergoing a period of transition, with an increasing proportion of markets experiencing annual declines in home prices. In June, 20% of the 949 large and small metropolitan areas recorded price reductions — the highest percentage since 2012. However, this softness is primarily concentrated in southern and southeastern markets, including major metropolitan areas in Florida, Texas and the San Francisco Bay Area.” 

Beware Boston Condo Brokers: Shift Happens

Beware Boston Condo Brokers: “Shift Happens.” For Boston condo brokers and agents, the past 18-months have seen the hottest Boston condo market in decades. Even with the pandemic and struggling economy, most brokers have enjoyed record growth. But ask those same brokers what they see ahead for the rest of 2022, and few think they will match the production levels of the past year.

This rapid shift in optimism is beyond the control of brokers and agents. Their concerns are driven primarily by three areas:

On average, home prices in the U.S. have increased 19.2% although in many markets the price growth is much higher. With increases in both Boston condo prices and mortgage rates, the average household now spends 31% of its income just to make a mortgage payment on the typical home. This level is the highest since 2007 and many brokers feel it’s not a sustainable situation.

Boston condo interest rates will continue to rise

Don’t look for mortgage relief in the near future as inflation reduction efforts by the Federal Reserve have resulted in rate increases for the first time since 2018. Currently the rates are at pre-2009 level and going higher.

With so many external factors impacting their businesses, many are looking inward for opportunities to increase income and company dollar; reduce costs and maintain profits. 

Many brokers find their own brand doesn’t enable them
to be competitive in the lucrative higher-end market

Here are five key areas brokers are focusing on today:

  • Shifting directions –Incrementally boosting agent productivity to increase the number of sides and increasing the firm’s average sales price has a significant impact on company dollar and profits. Enabling agents to participate in the maximum number of sides equates greater success for all. As an added bonus, with an estimated 8-10% of all agents changing brokerages this year, increased PPP and ASP becomes a powerful retention and recruiting tool.
  • Reducing costs & consolidation – Brokerage P&L line items are under the microscope today. Companies are re-examining their need for brick and mortar space. Offices are being combined, brokers are renegotiating their leases to eliminate extra square footage and unused offices are sublet. The use of outside services reduces some employee costs and greater use of tech and AI increase efficiencies. Brokers are focusing on running leaner operations.
  • Ancillary services – Company dollar and profitability continue to slide for brokers due to increasing costs, decreasing commissions and ever-higher agent splits. Many brokers diversify their income streams by adding title, mortgage, staging and sale preparation, property management, cash offers, real estate marketing/lead generation and more. 
  • Targeting higher end markets – A record 8.2% of U.S. homes sold for $1,000,000+ according to a recent Bloomberg article. That’s nearly double the number from two years ago and often mortgages are not at issue in many of the transactions. Brokers find their own brand doesn’t enable them to be competitive in the lucrative higher-end market, and more now are turning to affiliations, branding, alliances, and other avenues to quickly take advantage of the opportunities. 
  • Mergers & Acquisitions – It’s no secret that the large brokers are growing rapidly. Today, more than 60% of the nation’s volume is transacted by the top 20 largest real estate brands. Amazingly, more than ½ of the residential industry is conducted by less than 1% of the brokers.

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Boston condo broker mergers

Many Boston condo brokers are exploring opportunities to merge with or sell to firms with deep pockets and resources to enable the broker to be more competitive in the rapidly changing market. Brokers find they are generally able to leverage those resources so that they can shift their personal focus to the segment of the business that they enjoy most. Conversely, others are taking advantage of funding opportunities to acquire companies that can be combined to increase market share.

Even though business is good for most brokers, there has been an industry wide slowing. Many report buyer activity has slowed, days on the market are increasing, sellers are not jumping on the spring selling season and there are troubling signs ahead. The best brokers are making plans to minimize potential adverse conditions. 

Boston condos for sale and the bottom line

Author and speaker, Brian Tracy, said it best: “in a time of rapid change, standing still is the most dangerous course of action.”

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