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Boston Real Estate Bidding Wars Resume

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Boston Real Estate Bidding Wars Resume

For the first time in almost 12 months, the average U.S. home is selling above its asking price, as the average sale-to-list price ratio hit 100.1% for the four weeks ended July 2, according to a new Redfin report.

The report also found the median home-sale price during that period was down only $1,000 (-0.3%) from last year’s record high prices, as low inventory and steady demand are keeping prices aloft. 

New listings were down 25% from last year, and the total number of homes for sale were down nearly 12%, as homeowners continued to stay put and hold on to their low mortgage rates. That decline in inventory was the biggest since April 2022 and was essentially flat from June, contravening the typical monthly increases of this time of year.

Homebuyer demand is picking up, according to Redfin’s Homebuyer Index, and we’ve seen when there’s low inventory and high prices, the homebuyer market becomes quite competitive. 

During the four weeks ended July 2, Redfin’s Homebuyer Demand Index increased 4% from the previous month and was near its highest level in more than a year.

Redfin found more Google searches for “homes for sale” during the week ended July 1, up 5% from June but down 9% from last year. 

Thirty-year mortgage rates hit 7.08% in the week ended June 29, down slightly from a half-year high of 7.14% in May. During that same period, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.71%, up slightly from the previous week but down slightly from the eight-month high of 6.79% at the beginning of June. 

The average monthly mortgage payment on a median-priced home was $2,622 at 6.71%, for the week ended June 29, down slightly from the record high earlier in that month but up 14% from last year. 

Pending home sales fell 14.2% from last year, continuing the double-digit declines we’ve seen for more than a year. 

Updated: Boston Real Estate Blog 2023

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According to a new Redfin report Boston is still having bidding wars for condos for sale as we’re in the Fall Boston condo selling season.

  • Philadelphia had the highest bidding-war rate, with 62.2% of home offers written by Redfin agents facing competition. Next came Colorado Springs, CO (60.9%), Boston (58.6%), San Francisco (54.6%) and Providence, RI (53.8%).

Source: Redfin

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If your clients’ plans for homebuying this spring include visions of waltzing in with an offer anytime they please, you might want to prepare them to be on their feet for a while. A new report from Redfin noted that the competition is as stiff as ever.

Nationwide, the real estate company’s agents faced bidding wars on nearly three-quarters of the home offers they wrote in April. These included 79.7% of the offers in Boston, a bump from the 74.8% rate this past March and leap from the 56.3% rate in April 2020.

Redfin’s report included data from 45 markets in which its agents recorded at least 20 offers in both April 2021 and March 2021. The report defined a bidding war as any offer that faced at least one competing bid. The five markets with the highest bidding-war rates were Salt Lake City (83.5%), both San Diego and Spokane (83.3%), Boise (81.8%) and Phoenix (80.5%).

Overall, Redfin agents across the country saw bidding wars on 72% of the homes on which they submitted offers. This marked an increase over both the prior month (66.7%) and April 2020 (44.9%), when pandemic-related shutdowns were taking hold. April 2021 was also “the 12th-straight month in which more than half of home offers encountered competition,” Redfin noted.

“In today’s market, buyers just have to be comfortable with losing a few deals before they win one,” said Kristin Lopez, a Redfin agent in Boise, Idaho, in the company’s press release on the report. “It’s a marathon, not a sprint.”

In her red-hot market, Lopez noted that the tactics some successful buyers used to get their bids across the finish line included all-cash offers, free rent-backs to sellers and early earnest-money payments.

Clearly, it’s a good time to be a listings agent. Low mortgage rates and remote-work opportunities are among the factors expected to continue favoring sellers for the foreseeable future. But the Redfin data included one possible sign of easing competition. When compared to this past March, April’s bidding-war rate was lower in 17 markets. These included Salt Lake City, where that nationwide-leading 83.5% rate was actually a cool-down from March’s 86.1% rate. San Francisco/San Jose (73.2%, compared to 77.8%) and Las Vegas (71.1%, compared to 81.0%) were among the others that also saw a month-over-month decline.

In its press release, Redfin noted that the data is subject to revision.

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54% of Redfin offers faced bidding wars last month amid record-low mortgage rates and an acute shortage of homes for sale. Boston was one of the most competitive markets.

More than half of Redfin home offers faced competition in July for the third month in a row. Nationwide, 54% of Redfin offers encountered bidding wars last month, down slightly from June’s revised rate of 56%.

An offer is considered part of a bidding war if a Redfin agent reported that it received at least one competing bid.

Bidding Wars Remain Steady

Even as the coronavirus pandemic continues to send shockwaves through the U.S. economy, the bidding-war rate remains steady as homebuyers contend with competition driven by a dearth of homes for sale and record-low mortgage rates. Last month, the average rate on 30-year fixed mortgages dropped below 3% for the first time in recorded history. 

“Bidding wars may slow down if interest rates tick up again, which could happen if we get good news about a coronavirus vaccine or more clarity around the outcome of the upcoming U.S. presidential election.

Single-Family Homes

Single-family homes were most likely to encounter bidding wars in July, with 56% of Redfin offers facing competition, followed by townhouses, at 54%. Meanwhile, just 42% of offers for condos experienced bidding wars. Online searches for single-family homes recently rose to the highest level in four years as Americans sought out larger houses located farther away from dense urban areas, according to a June Redfin report.

When broken down by price, homes priced between $400,000 and $500,000 were most likely to be met with the competition, with 56% of offers facing bidding wars. By comparison, just 46% of offers for homes that were listed above $1.5 million received multiple bids in July.

Bidding-war rates by metro area, July 2020 and June 2020

Metro AreaShare of Redfin offers that faced bidding wars in July 2020Share of Redfin offers that faced bidding wars in June 2020
Salt Lake City, UT75%67%
San Francisco / San Jose, CA67%61%
San Diego, CA65%70%
Washington, D.C.62%61%
Boston, MA61%74%
Philadelphia, PA59%47%
Portland, OR58%58%
Los Angeles, CA58%67%
Minneapolis, MN54%60%
Seattle, WA54%58%
New York, NY53%53%
Austin, TX50%56%
Houston, TX50%44%
Atlanta, GA49%44%
Sacramento, CA47%55%
Phoenix, AZ47%58%
Dallas, TX46%44%
Denver, CO42%54%
Chicago, IL40%39%
Miami, FL36%34%
Las Vegas, NV32%44%

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