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What happened to the Boston Condo Commission Armageddon?

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What happened to the Boston Condo Commission Armageddon?

When the National Association of Realtors agreed to implement rule changes around commissions last year, the response was apoplectic. 

Studies suggested buyer agent commissions could be cut by as much as half. The Oppenheim Group’s Jason Oppenheim said it could amount to “armageddon.” 

Commissions return to pre-settlement level in Q2 

Featured crossmarket 8.13

The average U.S. buyer’s agent commission has returned to the level it was at when the National Association of REALTORS® agreed to change its rules governing commissions in a March 2024 settlement, Redfin said. 

The increase brought the average commission from 2.41% in the first quarter to 2.43% — the same as it was when the rule change was announced. The average commission fell to 2.36% when the change was implemented in September 2024 and has now risen for three quarters in a row since then, according to Redfin. 

Screenshot 2025 08 13 at 3.59.31 PM

 

The rule change was part of a settlement in Burnett vs. NAR, which was brought by home sellers who argued the practice of having sellers pay commissions for both their real estate agents and buyer’s agents artificially inflated commissions. The NAR agreed to prohibit posting buyer commissions on the MLS, require signed buyer’s broker agreements before any showings and pay $418 million in damages. 

Despite the initial drop in commissions, fears that the settlement would lead to a dramatic shakeup in agent compensation have not materialized. Buyer’s agents are now being paid at their pre-settlement level, thanks in part to the negotiating power buyers enjoy in many parts of the country, which had 500,000 more sellers than buyers in June — the greatest disparity since 2013, according to Redfin. 

With a dearth of buyers in many markets, sellers are more willing to pay buyer’s agents higher commissions to close deals, the brokerage explained. 

Commissions were up across all price levels, with agents in transactions of $500,000 or less seeing the highest commissions as a percentage of deal value. Buyer’s commissions in this bracket rose from 2.50% in the first quarter to 2.52% in the second quarter, while they rose from 2.31% to 2.34% for transactions between $500,000 and $999,999 and from an all-time low of 2.19% to 2.21% for sales of $1 million and up. 

Screenshot 2025 08 13 at 3.58.12 PM

Courtesy of Redfin.

In the quarters following the announcement, buyer commissions ticked down to a nadir of 2.36 percent in the third quarter of last year before turning back around. Last quarter, buyer agent commissions were 2.41 percent. 

But commissions haven’t recovered to the same degree across all price tiers. 

For homes that sold for under $500,000, the average buyer’s commission was 2.52 percent, the highest at that price point since 2023 and seven basis points higher than last year. Homes that sold for over $1 million had an average buyer commission of 2.21 percent, down from 2.24 percent a year earlier. 

Anywhere Real Estate, which publishes its average gross commission rates, reported roughly flat commissions for its franchisees and owned brokerages in the second quarter compared to the prior year. 

The listings giant has documented in the quarters following NAR’s Aug. 17, 2024, deadline for the changes to take effect that buyer agent commissions remained nearly unchanged. But some agents have said that they still see a difference in buyer behavior, even if it’s not showing up in the commission data. 

One would assume that in a less competitive market for buyers, a seller is going to be more motivated to offer a commission, and arguably even a higher commission, as a way to incentivize buyers.

Peace be with you
 

Updated: Boston Real Estate Blog 2025

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MLS PIN data last updated at August 14, 2025, 5:22 PM ET

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